Wellington vs Bay of Plenty
Wellington will play host to the Bay of Plenty in the final of the Bunnings NPC 2024. The home side pulled out all the stops in the semi-final to beat Waikato 29-24. They can thank Captain Du’Plessis Kirifi for his MOTM performance as he destroyed the opposition at ruck time with his turnovers. The visitors put in a brilliant second half showing to beat Canterbury in their semi-final with their attacking game coming to the fore. The final will be a different ball game as plenty of rain is forecast and this will prevent them from playing adventurous rugby.
TIP: Wellington will be thankful for having finished top of the league phase as they are hosting the final. They are unbeaten at home while Bay of Plenty three losses of the regular season have been on the road. The home side welcome back Connor Garden-Bachop who will be playing his 100th match. There is also a return for powerhouse centre Peter Umaga-Jensen. Bay of Plenty have named an unchanged team as they resisted the temptation to change a winning team. The bookies have Wellington as favorites and I am also backing them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Tictacbets 1.62, SoccerShop 1.62 and Bettabets 1.62
HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty
- Bay of Plenty have won just one of the last 11 matches against Wellington.
- Wellington have won the last three matches between the sides.
Latest results for both teams
Wellington beat Waikato 29-24 in their last match while BOP beat Canterbury 32-20 in their last match.
PREDICTION
The Wellington Lions will again be relying on the power of their forwards to get them the title especially as wet weather is predicted for the match. Bay of Plenty will need to rethink their strategy as they love running the ball. They have had arguably the most potent backline with the likes of Cole Forbes, Leroy Carter and Emoni Narawa. It will be interesting to see how much ball these players receive in the rain. Wellington will be hoping that the experience former internationals Julian Savea and Brad Shields will be enough to see them to victory. Home ground advantage will make the difference therefore I predict a Wellington win by 8 points.
Probable Starting XVs
Wellington
Xavier Numia, Leni Apisai, Siale Lauaki, Hugo Plummer, Akira Ieremia, Caleb Delany, Du’Plessis Kirifi (c), Brad Shields, Kyle Preston, Connor Garden-Bachop, Losi Filipo, Riley Higgins, Peter Umaga-Jensen, Julian Savea, Tjay Clarke
Bay of Plenty
15 Cole Forbes, 14 Leroy Carter, 13 Emoni Narawa, 12 Willis Halaholo, 11 Reon Paul, 10 Kaleb Trask, 09 Te Toiroa Tahuriorangi, 08 Nikora Broughton, 07 Joe Johnston, 06 Jacob Norris, 05 Aisake Vakasiuola, 04 Naito Ah Kuoi, 03 Benet Kumeroa, 02 Kurt Eklund, 01 Haereiti Hetet
Odds for this bet
The best odds on the Wellington victory are as follows:
Tictacbets 1.62
SoccerShop 1.62
Bettabets 1.62
Odds comparison on the Wellington handicap:
The complete odds on the Wellington handicap:
Tictacbets 1.90 (-2.5)
SoccerShop 1.87 (-2.5)
Bettabets 1.89 (-2.5)
Predictions and Odds in details
There are poor odds on the Wellington outright win therefore we suggest the home team on the handicap for better odds. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Tictacbets 1.90 (-2.5),SoccerShop 1.87 (-2.5) and Bettabets 1.89 (-2.5)
Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty
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Leinster vs Lions
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Sports crazy fan that follows all major sport but the game with the oval ball is my real passion. Was an age level rugby coach and a huge supporter of the Springboks and diehard Liverpool man. I’m an experienced punter and sports writer whose predictions/tips are sure to stir up the emotions. I love the occasional wager on the underdog.